Elo ratings for the 2024 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Lions | 1725 |
| 2 | Hawthorn | 1645 |
| 3 | Fremantle | 1643 |
| 4 | Western Bulldogs | 1635 |
| 5 | Sydney | 1616 |
| 6 | Greater Western Sydney | 1606 |
| 7 | Port Adelaide | 1587 |
| 8 | Geelong | 1584 |
| 9 | Carlton | 1546 |
| 10 | Adelaide | 1530 |
| 11 | Melbourne | 1493 |
| 12 | Gold Coast | 1461 |
| 13 | Essendon | 1447 |
| 14 | Collingwood | 1440 |
| 15 | St Kilda | 1423 |
| 16 | Richmond | 1228 |
| 17 | North Melbourne | 1220 |
| 18 | West Coast | 1163 |