Elo ratings for the 2024 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geelong | 1701 |
| 2 | Carlton | 1669 |
| 3 | Sydney | 1636 |
| 4 | Greater Western Sydney | 1626 |
| 5 | Collingwood | 1605 |
| 6 | Melbourne | 1603 |
| 7 | Port Adelaide | 1580 |
| 8 | Essendon | 1579 |
| 9 | Brisbane Lions | 1512 |
| 10 | Western Bulldogs | 1504 |
| 11 | Gold Coast | 1455 |
| 12 | Fremantle | 1441 |
| 13 | St Kilda | 1425 |
| 14 | Adelaide | 1408 |
| 15 | West Coast | 1404 |
| 16 | Richmond | 1324 |
| 17 | Hawthorn | 1324 |
| 18 | North Melbourne | 1195 |