AFL Elo ratings

Elo ratings for the 2024 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.

Rank Team Elo rating
1 Sydney 1826
2 Carlton 1745
3 Collingwood 1643
4 Brisbane Lions 1615
5 Hawthorn 1600
6 Fremantle 1579
7 Essendon 1570
8 Western Bulldogs 1551
9 Greater Western Sydney 1537
10 Melbourne 1481
11 Port Adelaide 1481
12 Geelong 1464
13 Gold Coast 1445
14 St Kilda 1404
15 Adelaide 1374
16 Richmond 1278
17 West Coast 1222
18 North Melbourne 1175
This data is current as of the end of Fremantle v Gold Coast (round 15) - data is usually updated within an hour of each game ending