Elo ratings for the 2025 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Lions | 1828 |
| 2 | Geelong | 1759 |
| 3 | Hawthorn | 1705 |
| 4 | Adelaide | 1677 |
| 5 | Greater Western Sydney | 1661 |
| 6 | Fremantle | 1654 |
| 7 | Collingwood | 1611 |
| 8 | Western Bulldogs | 1602 |
| 9 | Gold Coast | 1595 |
| 10 | Sydney | 1593 |
| 11 | St Kilda | 1440 |
| 12 | Carlton | 1440 |
| 13 | Port Adelaide | 1427 |
| 14 | North Melbourne | 1284 |
| 15 | Melbourne | 1275 |
| 16 | Richmond | 1190 |
| 17 | Essendon | 1181 |
| 18 | West Coast | 1069 |