Elo ratings for the 2024 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Lions | 1806 |
| 2 | Sydney | 1700 |
| 3 | Hawthorn | 1662 |
| 4 | Port Adelaide | 1659 |
| 5 | Western Bulldogs | 1647 |
| 6 | Geelong | 1625 |
| 7 | Greater Western Sydney | 1600 |
| 8 | Collingwood | 1590 |
| 9 | St Kilda | 1589 |
| 10 | Fremantle | 1479 |
| 11 | Adelaide | 1469 |
| 12 | Melbourne | 1427 |
| 13 | Carlton | 1417 |
| 14 | Gold Coast | 1394 |
| 15 | Essendon | 1361 |
| 16 | West Coast | 1253 |
| 17 | North Melbourne | 1198 |
| 18 | Richmond | 1117 |